Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.075683 0.089966 0.105997 0.125295 0.147864 0.173393 0.204428
2025-02-16 0.053699 0.071997 0.094905 0.125561 0.165363 0.215136 0.281921
2025-02-23 0.042562 0.062739 0.090248 0.130199 0.186383 0.262167 0.371637
2025-03-02 0.032833 0.052498 0.081333 0.126207 0.193678 0.290584 0.439322
2025-03-09 0.026968 0.046289 0.076465 0.126308 0.205649 0.325831 0.519964
2025-03-16 0.022191 0.040647 0.071175 0.124392 0.213559 0.355194 0.594592
2025-03-23 0.019373 0.037622 0.069404 0.127529 0.229444 0.398232 0.695078
2025-03-30 0.016465 0.033821 0.065577 0.126367 0.237627 0.429276 0.779093
2025-04-06 0.013866 0.030066 0.061140 0.123272 0.241714 0.453440 0.853639
2025-04-13 0.011619 0.026552 0.056530 0.119030 0.242896 0.472260 0.920374
2025-04-20 0.010424 0.024979 0.055426 0.121335 0.256575 0.514978 1.034843
2025-04-27 0.009282 0.023298 0.053811 0.122309 0.267643 0.553811 1.145895
2025-05-04 0.008197 0.021568 0.051886 0.122489 0.277422 0.591827 1.260800
2025-05-11 0.007366 0.020288 0.050752 0.124234 0.290748 0.638465 1.398184
2025-05-18 0.006844 0.019670 0.051025 0.129165 0.311558 0.702591 1.577957
2025-05-25 0.005875 0.017687 0.047727 0.125276 0.312163 0.724319 1.671276
2025-06-01 0.005252 0.016510 0.046203 0.125392 0.321909 0.766655 1.813019
2025-06-08 0.004617 0.015160 0.044009 0.123492 0.326595 0.798209 1.934190
2025-06-15 0.004275 0.014597 0.043791 0.126609 0.343830 0.859895 2.129155
2025-06-22 0.003805 0.013544 0.042058 0.125455 0.350232 0.897092 2.271506
2025-06-29 0.003329 0.012361 0.039752 0.122381 0.351289 0.921667 2.386629
2025-07-06 0.002880 0.011162 0.037186 0.118168 0.348765 0.937216 2.481589
2025-07-13 0.002671 0.010740 0.036887 0.120457 0.364100 0.998647 2.694958